Written on 08 November 1997
The future of customer service (as published in Internet Business)
In the foreseeable future the cost of an international telephone call will fall to 1% of its current level. Apart from rubbing our hands at the prospect of lower telephone bills, does it have any other implications?
Demand for information and service will increase
The normal laws of supply and demand suggest that if the cost of something falls then demand increases. And in this case it will be our expectations for information and service that goes up.
We as consumers will expect to be able to buy anything, at any time of the day or night: to obtain assistance immediately, easily and at no cost to ourselves. And if real difficulties arise, to be able to find an expert available somewhere in the world, who can help us. It will no longer be acceptable that we buy a product and can only get assistance during working hours (when we may be at work ourselves). It will no longer be acceptable that no local retail outlet sells the replacement razor blades for the electric razor they sold me a couple of years ago ( I still haven’t found a supplier!!!). The impulse to buy will be satisfiable at any time.
The future of customer service will depend on the integration of computer and telephone networks, and the provision of public access to select parts of private computer databases.
Self Help
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Mediated Help
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Expert Help
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Internet
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Call Centre
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Company Specialist
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Internet Technology
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CTI Technology
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Network technology
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According to this model of service the first line of contact will be the Internet Website. Not only as a 24 hrs. per day 365 days per year shop front, but also as the access point to the knowledge base that will be made up from those parts of the corporate Intranet that have been screened for public use.
But it may be hard to find the right information on the website, so access to the call centre will be the second line of service. This may be a bureau operation hired for the purpose or a virtual call centre made up from specially trained employees within the company, wherever they might be located. They will have access to both the public Internet information and the private databases of the company. Their greater familiarity with the system will enable them to help the occasional visitor to find solutions.
For those questions which are totally outside the normal realm, an index of skills within the company, tied to an ability to know where and when they are available is the prerequisite to transferring the query smoothly from the call centre to the person anywhere in the world who might have the answer.
As always, the trend to better customer service will be led by companies of best practice looking for competitive advantage - but all companies will be forced to follow their lead or eventually lose market share.
Implementation costs set to plummet.
Decisions taken today will affect a company’s ability to take advantage of these opportunities in the future.
To a great extent many of the integrated call centre solutions linking trained front end ‘information workers’ to data bases, have been available for some time and many large multinational corporations have implemented very sophisticated systems for delivering them. The real change taking place now is that the productivity gains they can generate are becoming available using low cost, open systems, rather than the proprietary monolithic and high cost products of the past.
The history of the PC’s success is really the history of open standards. Previously each computer had its own operating system and if you wanted a specific software solution you had to get it from your computer supplier at the price they wanted to charge. The introduction of an open architecture by Intel and Microsoft led to an explosive growth in the variety of software available and a dramatic fall in its cost. A virtuous cycle of a growing market leading to lower prices, attracting further software developments that increased value added, which in turn leads to a further increase in the size of the market.
Now the telephone network suppliers who still enjoy proprietary systems and the margins that go with them, are being challenged by the introduction of open standards.
Converging Elements.
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Internet The use of the Internet is driven by the speed of uptake by users. No doubt the current headlong rush will hit problems and set-backs - technical, legal and social, before sufficient proportions of the population feel comfortable with it as a acceptable medium for business. But it is the cheapest route to market ever developed, so it is only a question of time before it happens.
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Intranet Every major database supplier is developing (or already has) the necessary software bridges to enable output to the corporate Intranet or general Internet. Access to all data from a single PC is a technical reality.
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CTI (Computer Telephony Integration) Putting the telephone under the control of the computer has come of age, with all parties working to a more or less common standard. TAPI is the Microsoft standard for single machines, TSAPI the standard for networks. Telephone switches, telephony handling software from simple auto dialling to ACD (automated call distribution), and computer networks are all designed to these open standards. Every day clever new add-ons are being developed
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Telephone services from BT, AT&T Global 1 etc. The major service suppliers are facing increased competition throughout the world (deregulation in Europe is due to be official on the 1st Jan 98). This is combined with reduced pricing on their previously profitable international routes, and an erosion of the leased line revenues through the take up of virtual Intranet networks that also carry voice traffic over a data network. Against this threat to revenues they are looking to increased traffic and the use of value added services. These tailored services such as corporate CLI (caller line identity) or multiple numbering of single ISDN lines, can only add real value to companies that are using the CTI technology already.
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The cycle of change
Alvin Toffler wrote 'Future Shock' in the 1950’s in which he crystallised wide spread concern that the rate of change was so great that old people were alienated from their own environment merely by the changes that occurred in their lifetime.
Today these changes occur several times in a working lifetime and there is every indication that the rate will continue to accelerate.
Intel have just celebrated the 25th anniversary of their first chip. But in the next 2 years they will sell more processing power than in the last 25 years - and in the 2 years that follow they will sell the same amount again.
The introduction of the Internet has put yet another spin on these developments. Netscape has set a new agenda that all software developers are forced to follow. Two year product development cycles that used to be treated as the norm for software are reduced to 6 months. Complicated marketing arrangements are being simplified with producers dealing directly with end users or their advisors and delivering to them direct via the Internet. This cuts out great rafts of costs - the middleman’s margin, marketing, packaging, and delivery and enables the developer to sell the software at a low price or even give it away and make money by selling support (by telephone Internet and Email only).
As the unification of voice and data networks take hold, there will be a struggle for control. Within the corporation it will be between the IT department and the facilities management department that has traditionally dealt with telephony. Outside it is between the computer network suppliers and the telephone systems suppliers.
To some extent both sides see the opportunity as a poisoned chalice. The technology is quite difficult to manage, it is not yet plug and play and therefore requires an unusual skill set to make it work. In addition the traditions of telephony and computer services are rather different. But the future lies with convergence and it is more likely that computer companies can make the transition than those in the telephony sector.
The systems integrators and facilities management companies that will increasingly offer these solutions, will have to meet the high training requirements of their clients and develop sets of solutions that can be implemented, supported and developed over time. The initial cost of developing the required skill sets and product relationships is the investment cost of providing an integrated range of services to clients.
Open systems architecture delivers more than just lower prices and more choice. It also offers the possibility of incremental development. You can start by implementing the basic CTI system that delivers screen pops of customer history information to your screen as the telephone call comes in. At a later stage you can add voice mail, IVR (Interactive Voice Response), or any other facility that becomes available, without having to overhaul the original base system.
Already specialist software developers are introducing the products of the future, such as the HyperPhone link that enables an Internet/Intranet or Email to have a phone link embedded. To automatically initiate a phone call from the office or call centre when a specific symbol is clicked on the screen (www.netcall.co.uk - WebX). How better to manage the smooth migration from self help service on the Internet to the mediated help of a call centre. But with open systems the ingenuity of developers from around the world can be added to the network if the need is there.
The message is clear. The future convergence of computers and telephony networks is coming. If you are contemplating the installation of a new telephone switch, a major software upgrade, or a new computer network, make sure that it is designed to meet that future and provides an opportunity for future growth, and is not a millstone that will hold you back.
The good news
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Telephone costs will fall
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The bad news
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High cost of meeting the increase in demand for better service and more information
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The good news
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Converging technologies of computer networks, Internet, CTI and higher bandwidth communication links combine with open standards to reduce costs.
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The bad news
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Telecommunications and computer networks have traditionally been separate and few companies have the skill base to manage both.
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The good news
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They soon will....
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S.Milton for Internet Business Feb 97